Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal Poly
Big West
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#172
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#200
Pace56.3#338
Improvement-6.3#337

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#143
Improvement+1.7#82

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#213
Improvement-8.0#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 263   San Jose St. W 79-52 80%     1 - 0 +17.6 -0.1 +17.7
  Nov 16, 2011 251   Cal St. Bakersfield L 58-60 79%     1 - 1 -10.7 -12.0 +1.0
  Nov 19, 2011 219   @ USC W 42-36 48%     2 - 1 +6.3 -13.9 +21.7
  Nov 22, 2011 26   @ UNLV L 52-75 8%     2 - 2 -8.0 -12.1 +3.9
  Nov 25, 2011 266   Morgan St. W 62-61 71%     3 - 2 -5.2 +0.0 -5.0
  Nov 26, 2011 243   Mississippi Valley W 72-55 67%     4 - 2 +12.2 +13.4 +2.7
  Nov 30, 2011 293   Sacramento St. W 77-51 85%     5 - 2 +14.6 +10.7 +8.2
  Dec 03, 2011 38   St. Mary's L 54-59 25%     5 - 3 +1.7 -10.9 +11.9
  Dec 10, 2011 263   @ San Jose St. W 47-40 59%     6 - 3 +4.4 -17.4 +23.4
  Dec 17, 2011 177   @ Fresno St. W 65-46 38%     7 - 3 +21.7 +9.1 +17.0
  Dec 21, 2011 156   @ DePaul L 58-63 32%     7 - 4 -0.6 -8.5 +7.3
  Jan 02, 2012 110   UC Santa Barbara L 57-58 46%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -0.3 -4.9 +4.4
  Jan 05, 2012 39   @ Long Beach St. L 50-55 11%     7 - 6 0 - 2 +8.4 -4.9 +12.1
  Jan 07, 2012 163   Cal St. Fullerton W 73-67 60%     8 - 6 1 - 2 +3.0 -2.2 +5.4
  Jan 12, 2012 241   @ UC Irvine W 66-50 53%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +14.8 +1.2 +15.5
  Jan 14, 2012 268   @ UC Riverside L 53-60 59%     9 - 7 2 - 3 -9.8 -5.9 -5.2
  Jan 19, 2012 39   Long Beach St. L 69-78 25%     9 - 8 2 - 4 -2.4 +6.9 -10.4
  Jan 21, 2012 305   Cal St. Northridge W 100-54 88%     10 - 8 3 - 4 +32.9 +19.8 +13.6
  Jan 26, 2012 271   @ Pacific L 51-61 60%     10 - 9 3 - 5 -12.9 -21.4 +8.1
  Jan 28, 2012 322   @ UC Davis W 67-65 79%     11 - 9 4 - 5 -6.9 -1.0 -5.6
  Feb 02, 2012 163   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 61-83 35%     11 - 10 4 - 6 -18.2 -10.1 -9.4
  Feb 04, 2012 251   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-69 56%     11 - 11 -4.9 +0.7 -6.1
  Feb 09, 2012 268   UC Riverside W 54-52 81%     12 - 11 5 - 6 -7.6 -11.2 +3.9
  Feb 11, 2012 241   UC Irvine W 77-74 77%     13 - 11 6 - 6 -5.0 +7.0 -11.7
  Feb 15, 2012 305   @ Cal St. Northridge L 81-94 72%     13 - 12 6 - 7 -19.3 +4.1 -23.6
  Feb 18, 2012 254   @ Northern Colorado L 73-81 57%     13 - 13 -10.2 -0.4 -10.3
  Feb 25, 2012 110   @ UC Santa Barbara L 60-68 23%     13 - 14 6 - 8 -0.5 -2.7 +1.0
  Mar 01, 2012 322   UC Davis W 69-56 92%     14 - 14 7 - 8 -2.7 -2.2 +1.3
  Mar 03, 2012 271   Pacific W 67-38 81%     15 - 14 8 - 8 +19.3 +9.7 +18.7
  Mar 08, 2012 268   UC Riverside W 66-54 71%     16 - 14 +5.8 +5.5 +2.1
  Mar 09, 2012 110   UC Santa Barbara L 52-64 33%     16 - 15 -7.9 -4.7 -7.0
Projected Record 16.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%